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Communicating forecasts: the simplicity of simulated experience
(Elsevier, 2015-08)
It is unclear whether decision makers who receive forecasts expressed as probability distributions over outcomes understand the implications of this form of communication. We suggest a solution based on the fact that people ...
The two settings of kind and wicked learning environments
(Association for Psychological Science, 2015-10)
Inference involves two settings: In the first, information is acquired (learning); in the second, it is applied (predictions or choices). Kind learning environments involve close matches between the informational elements ...
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