It is unclear whether decision makers who receive forecasts expressed as probability distributions over outcomes understand the implications of this form of communication. We suggest a solution based on the fact that people ...

Inference involves two settings: In the first, information is acquired (learning); in the second, it is applied (predictions or choices). Kind learning environments involve close matches between the informational elements ...

The article examines research on the subject of humans' difficulty in understanding probability and the value of graphic representations in improving that understanding. Topics include research by "Harvard Business Review" ...