The golden rule of forecasting: objections, refinements, and enhancements
dc.contributor.author | Soyer, Emre | |
dc.contributor.author | Hogarth, R. M. | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2015-10-23T06:39:46Z | |
dc.date.available | 2015-10-23T06:39:46Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2015-08 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 0148-2963 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10679/951 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0148296315001435 | |
dc.description | Due to copyright restrictions, the access to the full text of this article is only available via subscription. | |
dc.description.abstract | In providing a “golden rule” for forecasting, Armstrong, Green, and Graefe (this issue) raise aspirations that reliable forecasting is possible. They advocate a conservative approach that mainly involves extrapolating from the present. We comment on three issues that relate to their proposed Golden Rule: its scope of application, the importance of highly improbable events, and the challenges of communicating forecasts. | en_US |
dc.language.iso | eng | en_US |
dc.publisher | Elsevier | en_US |
dc.relation.ispartof | Journal of Business Research | |
dc.rights | restrictedAccess | |
dc.title | The golden rule of forecasting: objections, refinements, and enhancements | en_US |
dc.type | Article | en_US |
dc.peerreviewed | yes | en_US |
dc.publicationstatus | published | en_US |
dc.contributor.department | Özyeğin University | |
dc.contributor.authorID | (ORCID & YÖK ID 124620) Soyer, Emre | |
dc.contributor.ozuauthor | Soyer, Emre | |
dc.identifier.volume | 68 | |
dc.identifier.issue | 8 | |
dc.identifier.startpage | 1702 | |
dc.identifier.endpage | 1704 | |
dc.identifier.wos | WOS:000356743100006 | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.03.029 | |
dc.subject.keywords | Conservative | en_US |
dc.subject.keywords | Golden Rule | en_US |
dc.subject.keywords | Scenario | en_US |
dc.subject.keywords | Simulation | en_US |
dc.identifier.scopus | SCOPUS:2-s2.0-84930277195 | |
dc.contributor.authorMale | 1 |
Files in this item
Files | Size | Format | View |
---|---|---|---|
There are no files associated with this item. |
This item appears in the following Collection(s)
Share this page