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dc.contributor.authorSoyer, Emre
dc.contributor.authorHogarth, R. M.
dc.date.accessioned2015-10-23T06:39:46Z
dc.date.available2015-10-23T06:39:46Z
dc.date.issued2015-08
dc.identifier.issn0148-2963
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10679/951
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0148296315001435
dc.descriptionDue to copyright restrictions, the access to the full text of this article is only available via subscription.
dc.description.abstractIn providing a “golden rule” for forecasting, Armstrong, Green, and Graefe (this issue) raise aspirations that reliable forecasting is possible. They advocate a conservative approach that mainly involves extrapolating from the present. We comment on three issues that relate to their proposed Golden Rule: its scope of application, the importance of highly improbable events, and the challenges of communicating forecasts.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherElsevieren_US
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Business Research
dc.rightsrestrictedAccess
dc.titleThe golden rule of forecasting: objections, refinements, and enhancementsen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.peerreviewedyesen_US
dc.publicationstatuspublisheden_US
dc.contributor.departmentÖzyeğin University
dc.contributor.authorID(ORCID & YÖK ID 124620) Soyer, Emre
dc.contributor.ozuauthorSoyer, Emre
dc.identifier.volume68
dc.identifier.issue8
dc.identifier.startpage1702
dc.identifier.endpage1704
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000356743100006
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.03.029
dc.subject.keywordsConservativeen_US
dc.subject.keywordsGolden Ruleen_US
dc.subject.keywordsScenarioen_US
dc.subject.keywordsSimulationen_US
dc.identifier.scopusSCOPUS:2-s2.0-84930277195
dc.contributor.authorMale1


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